BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 137 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we’ve got a 14-fight card in Brazil. DraftKings has some adequate competitions out there for this Fight Night card, and this can be uncommon for these free ones. The main tourney is the $8 entrance and pays $20k to 1st. That is the principal GPP I will be pursuing this week. As always, I’m in the 3-entry max and single entry GPPs as well. But this week DraftKings includes two competitions for trips out to Vegas to see the McGregor vs Khabib battle. Hotel, flight, and fights all paid for. The floor seats contest is a $33 entrance along with the non-floor seats competition is only a $15 entrance. I will need to take a few shots at that too. Also, DraftKings simply released a contest for UFC 299 that is a $10 entry having a gigantic $100,000 to 1st place. That is by far the greatest prize we have ever seen in DFS MMA, so let’s build a bankroll this weekend so we can take a few additional shots at the $100k. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I like this week as well as my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Livia Renata Souza ($9,600)
Livia Souza is the safest win on the card and that I believe she gets this fight finished early. That is where I’m starting my cash LUs this week. Only give me the -1100 favorite who is being fed up an easy win here, for my cash games. I do like a great deal of the top favorites with this card, I just would be the most shocked when Souza lost. I think she’s good in both formats, but she will most likely be chalky in GPPs, so money games would be the best place to get your Souza investment nowadays. Simply take this triumph, and then find others and you should be useful in cash games.
GPP play of the week — Charles Oliveira ($9,400)
I am a large Charles”Can Bronx” Oliveira enthusiast, and he has a few of my favorites in UFC history. I believe we can see another amazing one here. This fight seems simple to call. Do Bronx will look for the early takedown and when he can get it then he probably gets a 1st round sub. If that happens he must lock up a solid 100 points and I am pretty certain in being the results of the struggle, so that’s why he is my GPP play of the week. He is also my GPP drama of the week, and not my Cash play of the week for a motive. If he can’t get the takedown(s) early, then he will likely quit and get completed himself together with strikes. I really don’t enjoy that risk of a reduced floor because of my money LU, so I favor Souza there. However, in GPPs I like saving the $200 and going down to perform Bronx.
Underdog drama of the week — Eryk Anders ($7,600)
I’d like Anders a lot more if he wasn’t taking this fight on short notice, and when it wasn’t in Brazil. But he can have a clear route to victory here and that’s by knocking out Santos who does not possess a great chin. Anders could also go for takedowns in this struggle and he could win with some hard GNP too. At $7.6k he will almost surely end up on the winning LU when he’s able to get the KO. This is the main event, so he will have 5 rounds to work with. I do think this is a good matchup for Anders, however he must be aggressive and not hang out to the exterior. If he hangs out to the outside as long Santos will consume up him with kicks and it could be a brief night for Anders. I will select him to get the win here as an underdog in Brazil and I think he has it done in the first two rounds with a KO. That will easily pay off his $7.6k salary and it will win you a GPP if you can get your other five spots right also.
Fade of the week — Sam Alvey ($9,200)
Sam Alvey is obviously a fade for me. Last time I wrote him up as my fade of this week on here, I was very wrong and he scored over 100 points. Then so be it, if this happens here. But I refuse to rely on an early KO win to cover off a $9.2k salary from a guy who doesn’t throw many strikes. At $9.2k I need at least 92 points out of Alvey when I roll up him and the only way get gets that is with a 1st round KO win. That could happen here against a 42-year-old Lil Nog, but I am not eager to invest my money in it.
If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on every fight, my personal approaches & suggestions, and my pick outlook for every single fight then you can find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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