BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON FOX 30 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend we have a free Card on big FOX. We’re finally getting the rematch with Dustin Poirier vs Eddie Alvarez following their first battle ended in a No Contest. These are two of the most exciting fighters in the UFC and we should see an awesome fight here. DraftKings has some adequate competitions out for this particular card and I was surprised to find that a $20k top prize in their principal tournament. That’s what I will be pursuing and I’ll be making a lot of LUs to throw into that. Here are a Couple of plays I like for Saturday and my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Stack (Dustin Poirier $8,800 AND Eddie Alvarez $7,400)
This is an effortless way to begin my money LU this week and I expect this to be very popular in most money game formats. These two were on pace for a top scoring struggle in their first fight and I believe we have a simple 100+ involving the both of them here. I believe that the winner of the struggle will score more than 100 points themselves and then we add all of the sig strikes and other points from the failure also. But we promise ourselves that the win. The only way this fight doesn’t score over a hundred DK points is somebody gets kneed in the head illegal and the fight is stopped short….
GPP drama of this week — Hakeem Dawodu ($9,400)
I believe this matchup was set up to get Dawodu a win. I also believe Islam Makhachev, who is $200 more, will be very highly possessed and this may be a good pivot off him to differentiate your LU a bit. I really do think Dawodu will gain some decent ownership too but I think he’s a good GPP play this week. I believe the most likely outcome in this struggle is Dawodu becoming a (T)KO win. He should pay his off $9.4k salary if that is the case, especially if it’s early. He is a really solid striker and we did not get to see that in his UFC debut at which he had been angry very early in the fight. This is the perfect fit for him to showcase his striking and there was so much hype behind him moving to his introduction. I believe we could see a 1st round KO here and that makes Hakeem Dawodu my GPP play of the week.
Underdog play of this week — Ion Cutelaba ($7,600)
The most important reason Cutelaba is my underdog play of the week is because there’s not any way he isn’t scoring at least 10x if he is able to get the win. He’s got big power and could get a 1st round KO score and here over 100 DK points. If he does that with his cheap salary of $7.6k he’ll surely be at the winning lineup. This is a solid fight to target either side but points per salary wise, Cutelaba has one of those ceilings on the card. I don’t see this fight going to conclusion and the winner must score highly. I think if you’re making multiple lineups this weekend then you should definitely have vulnerability to Cutelaba.
Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I’m fading a few fighters this week , but the individual I never considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It’s not that I don’t believe she could win, since she for sure could. But I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a win. I think we’d require a finish from her in this fight to receive 10x that wages and I believe that’s very unlikely to take place. The most Chookagian has ever scored in a UFC fight up to now in her career is 83 DK points. That would not be sufficient here to place her at the winning lineup in her $8.7k price label. I think if you’re making 20 or less lineups that Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and if she’s a triumph it should not hurt much.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each struggle, my private strategies & suggestions, and also my selection outlook for every fight then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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