BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON FOX 30 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend we have a free Card big FOX. We are finally getting the rematch with Dustin Poirier vs Eddie Alvarez following their first fight ended in a No Contest. These are two of the most exciting fighters in the UFC and we ought to see an wonderful struggle here. DraftKings has some decent competitions out for this card and I was surprised to find that a $20k top prize in their principal tournament. That’s precisely what I will personally be chasing and I will be making a lot of LUs to throw to that. Here are a Couple of plays I like for Saturday and my fade of this week:
Money Game play of this week — Stack (Dustin Poirier $8,800 AND Eddie Alvarez $7,400)
This is an effortless way to start my cash LU this week and I anticipate this to be very popular in most cash game formats. These two were on pace to get a high scoring fight in their first fight and I think we have a simple 100+ between the both of them here. I think that the winner of the struggle will score more than 100 points and then we add in all of the sig strikes and other things from the failure as well. But we guarantee ourselves the triumph. The only way this battle does not score more than 100 DK points is somebody gets kneed in the mind prohibited and the fight is stopped brief….
GPP play of this week — Hakeem Dawodu ($9,400)
I believe that this matchup was set up for Dawodu a triumph. I also think Islam Makhachev, who’s $200 more, will be very highly owned and this could be a fantastic pivot him off to distinguish your LU a little bit. I do think Dawodu will gain some decent ownership too but I think he is a good GPP play this week. I believe the most probable outcome in this fight is Dawodu getting a (T)KO win. He must pay his off $9.4k salary if that is the case, particularly if it is early. He’s a really solid striker and we didn’t get to see that in his UFC debut at which he had been upset very early in the fight. This is the perfect match for him to showcase his striking and there was a lot of hype behind him going to his debut. I believe we could see a 1st round KO here and that makes Hakeem Dawodu my GPP drama of this week.
Underdog play of the week — Ion Cutelaba ($7,600)
The most important reason Cutelaba is that my underdog drama of the week is because there is not any way he isn’t scoring at least 10x when he can get the win. He’s got big power and could find a 1st round KO score and here over 100 DK points. If he does this with his cheap salary of $7.6k he will certainly be in the winning lineup. This is a solid fight to target both sides but points per wages shrewd, Cutelaba has one of those ceilings on the card. I do not see this battle going to decision and the winner must score highly. I think if you’re making multiple lineups this weekend you should definitely have exposure to Cutelaba.
Fade of this week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I am fading a couple of fighters this week , but the individual I never even considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It’s not that I do not think she can win, since she for sure can. However, I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a triumph. I believe we would require a finish from her in this fight to get 10x that wages and I think that’s very unlikely to take place. The most Chookagian has ever scored in a UFC fight so far in her profession is 83 DK points. That would not be sufficient here to put her at the winning lineup at her $8.7k price tag. I think if you’re making 20 or less lineups this Saturday you can safely fade Chookagian and when she gets a triumph it shouldn’t hurt much.
If you’d like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on every struggle, my personal strategies & suggestions, and also my pick outlook for every single fight then it is possible to find that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
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