UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays

Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:

Both men come into this battle on career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio is going to be a big factor and there’s a few tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with full power and relies on completing opponents. At a five round fight this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings quitting power of their own but conserves cardio for a more consistent output. On the toes both men may have their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz will be very likely to cause Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet crazy and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The biggest advantage goes to Blachowicz on the ground. Since Santos tires the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities must find Blachowicz a finish when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what ought to be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is quick with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing in some flashy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez looks slower on the feet using a riskier style. He keeps his hands low but does throw competitive combinations. The significant differential lies at the grappling section. Alvarez hasn’t shown great takedown defense on the regional landscape and relies on high risk submissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy succeeds. Look for Ismagulov to push his advantage standing and search for excursions and takedowns to the mat in which he favours top and control position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to win 1.70 Units.
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